MarketWeaver

Soccer

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs FC Bayern München: who will win?

99% say FC Bayern München wins

About the same as yesterday.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 31 at 1:30 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 99¢ means about a 99% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for October 31 at 1:30 PM ET.

Possible results

  • BV Borussia 09 DortmundBV Borussia 09 Dortmund wins.1%

    What has to happen

    BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win the game by 3 or more goals.

  • FC Bayern MünchenFC Bayern München wins.99%

    What has to happen

    FC Bayern München beats BV Borussia 09 Dortmund, under the rules.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Bundesliga official
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Bundesliga official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 1:30 PM ET.

Source named: Bundesliga official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 3 smaller price or trading-volume entries
  • Trading picked up (about 8 times the usual hourly amount).

    38s ago

  • Trading picked up (about 8 times the usual hourly amount).

    31m ago

  • Trading picked up (about 8 times the usual hourly amount).

    1h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com.”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FC Bayern München".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets