Soccer

Will FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?

16% say yes

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided when a champion is named, by October 31, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 16¢ means about a 16% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

It stays open until the season or tournament has a winner.

Possible results

YesThe team or player named in the question finishes as the champion.16%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by October 31, 2026.
NoSomeone else wins the title.84%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by October 31, 2026.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the market settles as "Yes".

Price chart

Yes 16%No 84%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Bundesliga official

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Bundesliga official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: Bundesliga official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 19 times the usual hourly amount.
20m ago
Trading rose to about 17 times the usual hourly amount.
50m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".”
“The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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