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Over vs Under: who will win?

>99% say Under wins

Down 47 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 31 at 1:30 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

PFC CSKA Sofia and PFC Slavia Sofia: PFC CSKA Sofia O/U 2.5 play a match, scheduled for October 31 at 1:30 PM ET.

Possible results

  • OverOver wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    PFC CSKA Sofia score 3 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

  • UnderUnder wins.>99%

    What has to happen

    PFC CSKA Sofia score less than 3 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 50.3 points in about 15 minutes, from 50.3¢ to 0.1¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats1h ago

  • The price fell 48.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 51¢ to 2.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats2h ago

  • The price fell 46 points in about 15 minutes, from 65¢ to 19¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats2h ago

  • The price rose 14.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 51.5¢ to 66¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats3h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Official league stats
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 1:30 PM ET.

Source named: Official league stats (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
  • “If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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