Other

Over vs Under: who will win?

>99% say Under wins

Down 40 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 1 at 4:30 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Grêmio FBPA and CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5 play a match, scheduled for November 1 at 4:30 PM ET.

Possible results

OverOver wins.<1%
What has to happen
Grêmio FBPA and CA Mineiro combine to score 3 or more goals in this game.
UnderUnder wins.>99%
What has to happen
The combined total is less than 3.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.

Price chart

Over <1%Under >99%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 50.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 56.5¢ to 6.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official league stats1h ago
The price rose 42.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 39¢ to 81.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official league stats2h ago
The price rose 27.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 36.5¢ to 64¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official league stats2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Official league stats

Fine-print risk

Low (5/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sun, Nov 1, 2026, 4:30 PM ET.

Source named: Official league stats (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.
5m ago
Trading rose to about 9 times the usual hourly amount.
35m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on cbf.com.br.”
“If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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