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Over vs Under: who will win?

67% say Under wins

Down 16 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 30 at 6:30 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 67¢ means about a 67% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Criciúma EC and AA Ponte Preta: O/U 3.5 play a match, scheduled for October 30 at 6:30 PM ET.

Possible results

  • OverOver wins.33%

    What has to happen

    Criciúma EC and AA Ponte Preta combine to score 4 or more goals in this game.

  • UnderUnder wins.67%

    What has to happen

    The combined total is less than 4.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

Recorded moves

  • The price rose 13.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 23.5¢ to 37¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats7m ago

  • The price fell 19.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 49¢ to 29.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Official league stats53m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Official league stats
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Fri, Oct 30, 2026, 6:30 PM ET.

Source named: Official league stats (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on cbf.com.br.”
  • “If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets

Criciúma EC vs. AA Ponte Preta: O/U 3.5: explained simply · MarketWeaver