Soccer

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-10-29?

>99% say Grêmio FBPA wins

Up 59 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 29, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for October 29, 2026.

Possible results

Grêmio FBPAGrêmio FBPA wins.>99%
What has to happen
Grêmio FBPA wins, under the rules.
CA ParanaenseCA Paranaense wins.<1%
What has to happen
CA Paranaense wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".

Price chart

Yes >99%No <1%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 7.9 points in about 15 minutes, from 91.5¢ to 99.4¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official league stats1h ago
The price rose 25 points in about 15 minutes, from 67.5¢ to 92.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official league stats2h ago
The price rose 27 points in about 15 minutes, from 40.5¢ to 67.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official league stats2h ago

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The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by Official league stats

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Official statistics of the governing body / event organizer; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Thu, Oct 29, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: Official league stats (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading picked up (about 4 times the usual hourly amount).
6m ago
Trading picked up (about 8 times the usual hourly amount).
36m ago

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 29, 2026 If Grêmio FBPA wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

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