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Over vs Under: who will win?

86% say Under wins

Down 34 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 31 at 8:00 AM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 86¢ means about an 86% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

VfL Wolfsburg and VfL Osnabrück: O/U 3.5 play a match, scheduled for October 31 at 8:00 AM ET.

Possible results

OverOver wins.14%
What has to happen
VfL Wolfsburg and VfL Osnabrück combine to score 4 or more goals in this game.
UnderUnder wins.86%
What has to happen
The combined total is less than 4.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.

Price chart

Over 14%Under 86%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 36 points in about 15 minutes, from 49.5¢ to 13.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: 2. Bundesliga official2m ago
The price rose 17 points in about 15 minutes, from 33.5¢ to 50.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: 2. Bundesliga official1h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by 2. Bundesliga official

Fine-print risk

Low (5/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, Yes orders vs No orders in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on 2. Bundesliga official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.

Source named: 2. Bundesliga official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com.”
“If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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