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Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-10-30?

>99% say DSC Arminia Bielefeld wins

Up 47 points today.

Decided by 2. Bundesliga official results, by October 30, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (October 30, 2026), the answer is No.

Possible results

  • DSC Arminia BielefeldDSC Arminia Bielefeld wins.>99%

    What has to happen

    DSC Arminia Bielefeld wins, under the rules.

  • Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Eintracht Braunschweig wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
Price chart
-Yes chance

Recorded moves

  • The price rose 26 points in about 15 minutes, from 73.5¢ to 99.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: 2. Bundesliga official2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by 2. Bundesliga official
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on 2. Bundesliga official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Fri, Oct 30, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: 2. Bundesliga official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries
  • Trading picked up (about 6 times the usual hourly amount).

    40m ago

  • Trading picked up (about 9 times the usual hourly amount).

    1h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 30, 2026 If DSC Arminia Bielefeld wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".”
  • “The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-10-30?: explained simply · MarketWeaver