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South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Tasmania JackJumpers: who will win?

>99% say the Tasmania JackJumpers win

Down 67 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 1 at 12:00 AM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

South East Melbourne Phoenix and Tasmania JackJumpers play a match, scheduled for November 1 at 12:00 AM ET.

Possible results

South East Melbourne PhoenixSouth East Melbourne Phoenix wins.<1%
What has to happen
The South East Melbourne Phoenix win.
Tasmania JackJumpersThe Tasmania JackJumpers win.>99%
What has to happen
The Tasmania JackJumpers win.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.

Price chart

South East Melbourne Phoenix <1%Tasmania JackJumpers >99%

-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

The price fell 37.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 37¢ to 0.1¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official result (implied)40m ago
The price rose 34 points in about 15 minutes, from 14.5¢ to 48.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: Official result (implied)1h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by Official result (implied)

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on The rules name no source; the official final result is the implied reference. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sun, Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules (implied: Official result result)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 6 times the usual hourly amount.
10m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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