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Adelaide 36ers vs Melbourne United: who will win?

>99% say the Adelaide 36ers win

Up 59 points today.

Decided by the official final result.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Adelaide 36ers and Melbourne United play a match.

Possible results

  • Adelaide 36ersThe Adelaide 36ers win.>99%

    What has to happen

    The Adelaide 36ers win.

  • Melbourne UnitedMelbourne United wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    The Melbourne United win.

The one trap

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand.

See all fine print
  • If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 4.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 95.5¢ to 100¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    No official data feed2h ago

  • The price fell 12.9 points in about 15 minutes, from 98.3¢ to 85.4¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    No official data feed3h ago

  • The price rose 4.6 points in about 15 minutes, from 90.5¢ to 95.2¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    No official data feed3h ago

  • The price rose 51.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 39¢ to 90.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    No official data feed4h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeNo source named
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Thu, Nov 12, 2026, 3:30 AM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading rose to about 7 times the usual hourly amount.

    1h ago

  • Trading rose to about 12 times the usual hourly amount.

    2h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
  • “Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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Adelaide 36ers vs. Melbourne United: explained simply · MarketWeaver