Bitcoin

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7AM

55% say Up

Up 4 points today.

Decided by Binance BTC/USDT, by November 12, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 55¢ means about a 55% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The price is read from Binance (the BTC/USDT pair), at the time named in the rules.

Possible results

UpThe result is “Up”.55%
What has to happen
The close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title.
DownThe result is “Down”.45%
What has to happen
Down beats Up, under the rules.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart

Up 55%Down 45%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 11.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 44.5¢ to 55.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: binance.com13m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as written, time zone not statedSettled by binance.com

Fine-print risk

Medium (30/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Binance BTC/USDT (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored. Updates every minute (exchange candles). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with no time zone stated for the deadline. Deadline: Thu, Nov 12, 2026, 7:00 AM (time zone not stated).

Source named: binance.com (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT).”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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