Bitcoin

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?

88% say yes

Up 4 points today.

Decided by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles, by November 2, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 88¢ means about an 88% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The price is read from Binance (the BTC/USDT pair), at the time named in the rules. Yes wins if: The Binance 1 minute for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title.

Possible results

YesThe price ends up where the question says, at the time and source the rules name.88%
What has to happen
The Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title.
NoIt doesn’t happen.12%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by November 2, 2026.

The one trap

It uses the Binance price at 12:00 ET, not prices from other exchanges or websites.

Price chart

Yes 88%No 12%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: only the close countsSettled by binance.com (1m candle)

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored. Updates every minute (exchange candles). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Intraday touches do not count. Only the exact closing snapshot at the cutoff timestamp settles this contract. Deadline: Mon, Nov 2, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Source named: binance.com (1m candle) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 3 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 3 times the usual hourly amount.
1h ago
Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.
2h ago
Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.
2h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date…”
“The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top…”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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