MarketWeaver
Log inSign up

Bitcoin

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 10?

83% say yes

Up 34 points today.

Decided by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles, by November 10, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 83¢ means about an 83% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The price is read from Binance (the BTC/USDT pair), at the time named in the rules. Yes wins if: The Binance 1 minute for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title.

Possible results

  • YesThe price ends up where the question says, at the time and source the rules name.83%

    What has to happen

    The Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title.

  • NoIt doesn’t happen.17%

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by November 10, 2026.

The one trap

It uses the Binance price at 12:00 ET, not prices from other exchanges or websites.

Price chart
-Yes chance

Loading...

Recorded moves

  • The price rose 3.6 points in about 15 minutes, from 79.6¢ to 83.2¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)31s ago

  • The price rose 3.1 points in about 15 minutes, from 75.6¢ to 78.6¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)31m ago

  • The price rose 3.2 points in about 15 minutes, from 73.6¢ to 76.8¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)1h ago

  • The price fell 5.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 82.3¢ to 76.7¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)2h ago

  • The price rose 6.3 points in about 15 minutes, from 73.7¢ to 80¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)3h ago

  • The price rose 5.1 points in about 15 minutes, from 68.3¢ to 73.4¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)4h ago

  • The price fell 10.8 points in about 15 minutes, from 76.9¢ to 66¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)4h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: only the close countsSettled by binance.com (1m candle)
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored. Updates every minute (exchange candles). No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Intraday touches do not count. Only the exact closing snapshot at the cutoff timestamp settles this contract. Deadline: Tue, Nov 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Source named: binance.com (1m candle) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date…”
  • “The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top…”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets

Get notified when Pro opens.

One email when Pro opens, plus occasional product news. Unsubscribe anytime. Never shared or rented.

By joining you agree to our Privacy Policy.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 10?: explained simply · MarketWeaver