Fed & Rates

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ after the October 2026 meeting?

No live price for this market yet.

Decided by Bank of Japan official website, by October 30, 2026.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

There is no live market linked to this card yet, so there are no prices to show.

The one trap

If the Bank of Japan releases no statement by the end of its next scheduled meeting, Polymarket counts it as “No change”.

See all fine print

If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, the market settles as the "No change" bracket.

Show details for experienced traders

The details

No live order bookRule note: the announcement countsSettled by Bank of Japan official website

Chance the crowd gives Yes

no live price

Buyers vs sellers near the price

no order list read

Fine-print risk

Medium (30/100)

settles on the official announcement

Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
Official source: settlement runs on Bank of Japan official website (boj.or.jp); credible reporting may also be used. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Fri, Oct 30, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: Bank of Japan official website (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Big trades across all markets