Tennis

Tabilo vs Tirante: who will win?

57% say Thiago Agustin Tirante wins

No price change recorded today yet.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

If postponed, it can stay open until Nov 27, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 57¢ means about a 57% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Alejandro Tabilo and Thiago Agustin Tirante play a tennis match at the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 8:00 AM .

Possible results

Alejandro TabiloAlejandro Tabilo wins and moves on.43%
What has to happen
Alejandro Tabilo advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante.
Thiago Agustin TiranteThiago Agustin Tirante wins and moves on.57%
What has to happen
Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Alejandro Tabilo.

The one trap

If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or still has no winner by November 27, 2026, the market settles 50-50 and every share pays 50¢.

See all fine print

If a player stops partway through (retires), or is defaulted or disqualified, the player who moves on wins the market.
If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.
The official result comes from the ATP Tour. Trusted news reports can also be used.

Price chart

Alejandro Tabilo 43%Thiago Agustin Tirante 57%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 34 points in about 15 minutes, from 69.5¢ to 35.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: ATP official15m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultSettled by ATP official

Fine-print risk

Low (10/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on ATP official results; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Fri, Nov 13, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.

Source named: ATP official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 12 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 13 times the usual hourly amount.
2h ago
Trading rose to about 3 times the usual hourly amount.
3h ago
Trading rose to about 3 times the usual hourly amount.
3h ago
Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.
4h ago
Trading rose to about 3 times the usual hourly amount.
4h ago
Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.
5h ago
Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.
6h ago
Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.
6h ago
Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.
7h ago
Trading rose to about 9 times the usual hourly amount.
7h ago
Trading rose to about 10 times the usual hourly amount.
8h ago
Trading rose to about 9 times the usual hourly amount.
8h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour.”
“If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 27, 2026, 11:59…”
“If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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