Tennis

Shimizu vs Hsu: who will win?

>99% say Yu-Hsiou Hsu wins

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00 PM .

Polymarket lists November 4, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until November 11, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Yuta Shimizu and Yu-Hsiou Hsu play a tennis match at the Ningbo, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET.

Possible results

Yuta ShimizuYuta Shimizu wins and moves on.<1%
What has to happen
Yuta Shimizu advances against Yu-Hsiou Hsu.
Yu-Hsiou HsuYu-Hsiou Hsu wins and moves on.>99%
What has to happen
Yu-Hsiou Hsu advances against Yuta Shimizu.

The one trap

If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or still has no winner by November 11, 2026, the market settles 50-50 and every share pays 50¢.

See all fine print

If a player stops partway through (retires), or is defaulted or disqualified, the player who moves on wins the market.
If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.
The official result comes from the ATP Tour. Trusted news reports can also be used.

Price chart

Yuta Shimizu <1%Yu-Hsiou Hsu >99%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 48.4 points in about 15 minutes, from 48.5¢ to 0.1¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: ATP official1m ago
The price rose 17.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 29.5¢ to 46.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: ATP official1h ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by ATP official

Fine-print risk

Low (10/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on ATP official results; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Oct 28, 2026, 10:00 PM ET.

Source named: ATP official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Shimizu and Yu-Hsiou Hsu in the Ningbo, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yuta Shimizu' if Yuta Shimizu advances against Yu-Hsiou Hsu. This market will resolve to 'Yu-Hsiou Hsu' if Yu-Hsiou Hsu advances against Yuta Shimizu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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