Tennis
Alcaraz vs Ruud: who will win?
94% say Carlos Alcaraz wins
No price change recorded today yet.
Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.
If postponed, it can stay open until Nov 21, 2026.
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 94¢ means about a 94% chance.
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.
The short version
Carlos Alcaraz and Casper Ruud play a tennis match, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM .
Possible results
Carlos AlcarazCarlos Alcaraz wins.94%
What has to happen
Carlos Alcaraz wins by 2 or more sets than Casper Ruud, based on the final completed score.
Casper RuudCasper Ruud wins.6%
What has to happen
Casper Ruud beats Carlos Alcaraz, under the rules.
The one trap
Otherwise, it settles as "Casper Ruud." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round.
See all fine print
- For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Carlos Alcaraz can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and the market settles as "Casper Ruud." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Price chart
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Recorded moves
The price rose 16.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 56.5¢ to 73¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
No official data feed2m ago
The price rose 30.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 53.5¢ to 84¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
No official data feed32m ago
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