Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz

Named source: ATP official

Explain it simply

Built from this market’s own rules and prices. It is research, not a recommendation.

1.What this market is really asking

This market is about: Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz.

It stays open until the season or tournament has a winner.

2.Words to know

Share: One unit of a market. A share pays $1 if its result happens and $0 if it doesn’t.
Official source: The organization named in the rules whose report decides the result.
Settle (resolve): When a market is decided and shares pay out. Venues use “resolve” to mean the same thing.
50-50: Every share pays 50¢, whichever side it is. Markets use this when the rules say a result can’t be decided.
Price in cents (¢): Prices run from 0¢ to 100¢ and work like a percent chance. 94¢ means the crowd gives it about a 94% chance.
Retirement (tennis): When a player stops a match partway through, usually because of injury. The other player moves on.
Default or disqualification: When a player is removed from a match for breaking the rules. The other player moves on.
Walkover: When a player pulls out before the match starts, so the other player moves on without playing.
ET: Eastern Time, the time zone of New York.
Advance: To move on to the next round.
Regulation time: The normal length of a game, before any overtime.
Overtime: Extra playing time added when a game is tied at the end of normal time.
Kalshi: A US exchange that lists similar markets. It is regulated by the CFTC, and its rules can differ from Polymarket’s.
End date: The last day the rules allow for the result. Some markets settle earlier, and some rules allow extra time.
Credible reporting: When major news outlets agree on a result. Polymarket often uses this before official counts are final.

3.Each possible result

There is no live market linked to this card yet, so there are no prices to show.

4.How the payout works

Each share pays $1 if its result happens and $0 if it doesn’t. There is no live price for this market yet.

5.Why the price is where it is

We haven’t found an official source explaining this yet.

6.Fine print in plain English

If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or still has no winner by November 10, 2026, the market settles 50-50 and every share pays 50¢.
If a player stops partway through (retires), or is defaulted or disqualified, the player who moves on wins the market.
If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.

The short version

How to read this page

There is no live price for this market yet, so the crowd’s view is not available.

Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.

Describes the price, the order book and the contract rules. It is research, not a recommendation.

Polymarket prices shown here come from Polymarket’s international site (polymarket.com), which is not available to US residents. Polymarket US is a separate CFTC-regulated venue with its own prices. Prediction market access depends on where you live. Follow each venue’s terms and location rules, and do not use a VPN or other tools to get around them.

Live price & chartPro

This card is not linked to a tracked market.

Show details for experienced traders

The details

No live order bookRule note: full game including overtimeSettled by ATP official

Chance the crowd gives Yes

no live price

Buyers vs sellers near the price

no order book read

Fine-print risk

Low (10/100)

Match / Game Final

Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
Official source: settlement runs on ATP official results; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 5:00 AM ET (scheduled start). Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (see rules) and cancellation handling (per the rules vs. void/refund on sportsbooks and Kalshi's own contract terms).

Source named: ATP official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz

5-point rule check

Polymarket

Named source: ATP official

Fine-print risk: Low (10/100)

Source
Deadline
Counts as Yes
Backup rules
Other venues

Fine-print risk Low 10

Who settles it (official source)

ATP official results; credible reporting as a last resort

Deadline and time zone

Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 5:00 AM ET (scheduled start); hard deadline Tue, Nov 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET America/New_York

What counts as Yes

Match / Game FinalOfficial final result of the match; forfeits and walkovers follow the special rules stated. Rule text: "This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Carlos Alcaraz in the Erste Bank Open,…"

Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

Fine print and other venues

Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (see rules) and cancellation handling (per the rules vs. void/refund on sportsbooks and Kalshi's own contract terms).

Rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Carlos Alcaraz in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Karen Khachanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.