Tennis

Dedura-Palomero vs Aboian: who will win?

50% say Diego Dedura-Palomero wins

Down 20 points today.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

Polymarket lists November 5, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until November 12, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 50¢ means about a 50% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Diego Dedura-Palomero and Valerio Aboian play a tennis match at the Guayaquil, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM .

Possible results

Diego Dedura-PalomeroDiego Dedura-Palomero wins and moves on.50%
What has to happen
Diego Dedura-Palomero advances against Valerio Aboian.
Valerio AboianValerio Aboian wins and moves on.50%
What has to happen
Valerio Aboian advances against Diego Dedura-Palomero.

The one trap

If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or still has no winner by November 12, 2026, the market settles 50-50 and every share pays 50¢.

See all fine print

If a player stops partway through (retires), or is defaulted or disqualified, the player who moves on wins the market.
If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.
The official result comes from the ATP Tour. Trusted news reports can also be used.

Price chart

Diego Dedura-Palomero 50%Valerio Aboian 50%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 25 points in about 15 minutes, from 75¢ to 50¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: ATP official41m ago

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The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by ATP official

Fine-print risk

Low (10/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on ATP official results; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Thu, Oct 29, 2026, 11:00 AM ET.

Source named: ATP official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market refers to the tennis match between Diego Dedura-Palomero and Valerio Aboian in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diego Dedura-Palomero' if Diego Dedura-Palomero advances against Valerio Aboian. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Diego Dedura-Palomero. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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