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Tennis

Aguilar vs Kicker: who will win?

>99% say Nicolas Kicker wins

Down 49 points today.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

If postponed, it can stay open until Nov 18, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Federico Aguilar and Nicolas Kicker play a tennis match, scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM .

Possible results

  • Federico AguilarFederico Aguilar wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Federico Aguilar wins by 2 or more sets than Nicolas Kicker, based on the final completed score.

  • Nicolas KickerNicolas Kicker wins.>99%

    What has to happen

    Nicolas Kicker beats Federico Aguilar, under the rules.

The one trap

Otherwise, it settles as "Nicolas Kicker." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round.

See all fine print
  • For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Federico Aguilar can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and the market settles as "Nicolas Kicker." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 48 points in about 15 minutes, from 48.5¢ to 0.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    No official data feed3m ago

  • The price rose 16.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 31¢ to 47.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    No official data feed33m ago

  • The price rose 5.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 25.5¢ to 31¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    No official data feed2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultNo source named
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Nov 4, 2026, 8:00 AM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after…”
  • “Otherwise, it will resolve to "Nicolas Kicker."”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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