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Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

No live price for this market yet.

Decided when a champion is named, by December 31, 2026.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

It stays open until the season or tournament has a winner.

Possible results

There is no live market linked to this card yet, so there are no prices to show.

The one trap

If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027.

See all fine print
  • If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest available data.
Show details for experienced traders

The details

No live order bookRule note: first number counts, no revisionsSettled by fe.secondmarket.com
Chance the crowd gives Yes
-
no live price
Yes orders vs No orders near the price
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no order list read
Fine-print risk
Low (0/100)
settles on the first published number
  • Price and trading: no live Polymarket price or order book is tracked for this contract yet.
  • Official source: settlement runs on Named URL in rules: fe.secondmarket.com. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles strictly on the initial agency release. Later benchmark revisions will not flip the outcome. Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 1:00 PM ET.

Source named: fe.secondmarket.com (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest available data.”
  • “If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until…”
  • “If a listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an…”

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Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?: explained simply · MarketWeaver