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Soccer

Over vs Under: who will win?

>99% say Under wins

Down 68 points today.

Decided by the official final result.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Esteghlal FC Tehran and Al-Shamal: 1st Half O/U 0.5 play a soccer match.

Possible results

  • OverOver wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Esteghlal FC Tehran and Al-Shamal combine to score 1 or more goals in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time).

  • UnderUnder wins.>99%

    What has to happen

    The combined first-half total is less than 1 goals.

The one trap

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand.

See all fine print
  • If the game is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 29.9 points in about 15 minutes, from 30¢ to 0.1¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus3h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Tue, Nov 3, 2026, 11:00 AM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “If the game is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that…”
  • “Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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Esteghlal FC Tehran vs. Al-Shamal: 1st Half O/U 0.5: explained simply · MarketWeaver