Tech

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 11?

98% say Up

Up 48 points today.

Decided by Pyth 1-minute candles, by November 11, 2026, 4:00 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 98¢ means about a 98% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

UpThe result is “Up”.98%
What has to happen
The Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on November 11, 2026 is higher than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day.
DownThe result is “Down”.2%
What has to happen
The Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on November 11, 2026 is lower than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day.

The one trap

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.

See all fine print

If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

Price chart

Up 98%Down 2%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: only the close countsSettled by Pyth 1m candle

Fine-print risk

Low (5/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Pyth 1-minute candles (pyth.network). Updates continuously (oracle / index feed). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Intraday touches do not count. Only the exact closing snapshot at the cutoff timestamp settles this contract. Deadline: Wed, Nov 11, 2026, 9:30 AM ET.

Source named: Pyth 1m candle (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.
40m ago
Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.
1h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.”
“If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets

Get notified when Pro opens.

One email when Pro opens, plus occasional product news. Unsubscribe anytime. Never shared or rented.