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Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of November?

22% say yes

Up 2 points today.

Decided by Pyth 1-minute candles, by November 30, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 22¢ means about a 22% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 30, 2026), the answer is No. Yes wins if: The for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of November 2026 is higher than the listed price.

Possible results

  • YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.22%

    What has to happen

    The Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of November 2026 is higher than the listed price.

  • NoThe deadline passes without it happening.78%

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by November 30, 2026.

The one trap

If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.

See all fine print
  • If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 4.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 17.5¢ to 21.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Pyth 1m candle20m ago

  • The price rose 8.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 8¢ to 16.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: Pyth 1m candle2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: only the close countsSettled by Pyth 1m candle
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Pyth 1-minute candles (pyth.network). Updates continuously (oracle / index feed). No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Intraday touches do not count. Only the exact closing snapshot at the cutoff timestamp settles this contract. Deadline: Mon, Nov 30, 2026, 4:00 PM ET.

Source named: Pyth 1m candle (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.

    1h ago

  • Trading rose to about 6 times the usual hourly amount.

    2h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of November 2026 is higher than the…”
  • “The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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