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Hurricanes vs. Blues

.gov source: nhc.noaa.gov · End date Oct 24, 7:00 PM ET · View rules on Polymarket (international site) ↗

The short version

How to read this page

Traders give Hurricanes more than 99% and Blues less than 1% in “Hurricanes vs. Blues”.

It rose 40 points today, and there are too few orders waiting near the price to compare buy orders and sell orders.

Low surprise risk: the National Hurricane Center settles it based on the condition as written.

Describes the price, the order book and the contract rules. It is research, not a recommendation.

Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

Polymarket prices shown here come from Polymarket’s international site (polymarket.com), which is not available to US residents. Polymarket US is a separate CFTC-regulated venue with its own prices. Prediction market access depends on where you live. Follow each venue’s terms and location rules, and do not use a VPN or other tools to get around them.

The details

Rule note: observed eventSettled by .gov source: nhc.noaa.gov
Fine-print risk
Low (10/100)
Observed Event

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on NOAA National Hurricane Center. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on a "Observed Event" trigger with an ET cutoff. Cutoff: Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:00 PM ET Deadline: Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:00 PM ET. Kalshi lists contracts on many of the same releases.

Next official event: NHC advisory, see the official schedule

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Live price, chart & buyers vs sellersPro

Pro shows the exact price, the change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price history and every recorded move here.

See Pro

Hurricanes vs. Blues

5-point rule check

Polymarket

.gov source: nhc.noaa.gov
Fine-print risk: Low (10/100)
  1. Source
  2. Deadline
  3. Counts as Yes
  4. Backup rules
  5. Other venues
Fine-print risk Low 10
1.
Who settles it (official source)
NOAA National Hurricane Center · https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
2.
Deadline and time zone
Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 7:00 PM ET America/New_York
3.
What counts as Yes
Observed EventSettles when the described event is observed and reported by the named source. Rule text: "…e, scheduled for October 24 at 7:00PM ET: If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes". If the Blues win,…"
4.
Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
5.
Fine print and other venues
Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Kalshi lists contracts on many of the same releases. Compare whether each venue settles on the initial print or a revised figure, the cutoff timezone (Kalshi contract terms are in ET), and what happens if a government shutdown delays the release.
Rules text on file (Polymarket)

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 24 at 7:00PM ET: If the Hurricanes win, the market will resolve to "Hurricanes". If the Blues win, the market will resolve to "Blues". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Hurricanes vs. Blues: resolution rules & settlement traps · MarketWeaver