NFL

Patriots vs Dolphins: who will win?

55% say the Dolphins win

Down 3 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for November 1 at 4:25 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 55¢ means about a 55% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for November 1 at 4:25 PM ET.

Possible results

PatriotsThe Patriots win.45%
What has to happen
The Patriots win the game by 8 or more points.
DolphinsThe Dolphins win.55%
What has to happen
Dolphins beat Patriots, under the rules.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.

Price chart

Patriots 45%Dolphins 55%

-Yes chance

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The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by NFL official (implied)

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on The rules name no source; the official NFL final result is the implied reference. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sun, Nov 1, 2026, 4:25 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules (implied: NFL official result)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 3 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading picked up (about 8 times the usual hourly amount).
19m ago
Trading picked up (about 8 times the usual hourly amount).
49m ago
Trading picked up (about 8 times the usual hourly amount).
1h ago

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

In the upcoming NFL football game between Patriots and Dolphins, scheduled for November 1 at 4:25 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Patriots" if the Patriots win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Dolphins". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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