NBA

Over vs Under: who will win?

56% say Over wins

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 28 at 9:30 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 56¢ means about a 56% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Thunder and Mavericks: O/U 226.5 play a basketball game, scheduled for October 28 at 9:30 PM ET.

Possible results

OverOver wins.56%
What has to happen
The Thunder and Mavericks combine to score 227 or more points in this game.
UnderUnder wins.44%
What has to happen
The combined total is less than 227.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.

Price chart

Over 56%Under 44%

-Yes chance

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The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by NBA official (implied)

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on The rules name no source; the official NBA final result is the implied reference. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Oct 28, 2026, 9:30 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules (implied: NBA official result)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 28 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Thunder and Mavericks combine to score 227 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 227, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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