MarketWeaver

Soccer

Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-10-28?

<1% say the San Jose Earthquakes win

Down 43 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 28, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for October 28, 2026.

Possible results

  • Colorado Rapids SCColorado Rapids SC wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Colorado Rapids SC wins, under the rules.

  • San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    San Jose Earthquakes wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
Price chart
-Yes chance

Recorded moves

  • The price fell 17.9 points in about 15 minutes, from 18¢ to 0.1¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: MLS official3m ago

  • The price fell 32.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 35.5¢ to 3.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: MLS official34m ago

  • The price fell 25.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 60.5¢ to 35¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: MLS official1h ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by MLS official
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on MLS official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Wed, Oct 28, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: MLS official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 28, 2026 If San Jose Earthquakes wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

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