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Manchester City punishment announced by December 18?

2% say yes

Down 14 points today.

Decided by Premier League official results, by December 18, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 2¢ means about a 2% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (December 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET), the answer is No.

Possible results

  • YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.2%

    What has to happen

    The sanctions imposed on Manchester City FC by the independent Regulatory Commission for the breaches found in the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on February 6, 2023 (commonly referred to as the "115 charges" case) are officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

  • NoThe deadline passes without it happening.98%

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by December 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.

Price chart
-Yes chance

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View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the announcement countsSettled by Premier League official
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the official announcement
  • Official source: settlement runs on Premier League official results; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Fri, Dec 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Premier League official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sanctions imposed on Manchester City FC by the independent Regulatory Commission for the breaches found in the…”
  • “An official announcement of the sanctions set by the independent Regulatory Commission will count, regardless of whether they are later appealed, including a decision that…”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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