Esports

Over vs Under: who will win?

>99% say Over wins

Up 52 points today.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

Polymarket lists October 29, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until November 11, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

The game is scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM .

Possible results

OverOver wins.>99%
What has to happen
Invictus Gaming and LYON play 3 or more games in this series.
UnderUnder wins.<1%
What has to happen
Fewer than 3 games are played.

The one trap

If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.

See all fine print

If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, the market settles as 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET).

Price chart

Over >99%Under <1%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 65.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 34.5¢ to 100¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: gol.gg9m ago
The price fell 11.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 48.5¢ to 37.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: gol.gg1h ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by gol.gg

Fine-print risk

Low (10/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on gol.gg official match results (credible reporting only if not published within 2 hours). Posts final results after the match. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Oct 28, 2026, 7:00 PM ET.

Source named: gol.gg (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between Invictus Gaming and LYON in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Invictus Gaming and LYON play 3 or more games in this series. If fewer than 3 games are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining games required to decide the match, including a game in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

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