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Esports

Invictus Gaming vs LYON: who will win?

>99% say Invictus Gaming wins

Up 41 points today.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

Polymarket lists October 29, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until November 11, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Invictus Gaming and LYON play a LoL match at the Game 1 Winner, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM .

Possible results

  • Invictus GamingInvictus Gaming wins.>99%

    What has to happen

    Invictus Gaming win Game 1 against LYON.

  • LYONLYON wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    LYON win Game 1 against Invictus Gaming.

The one trap

If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.

See all fine print
  • If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1.
  • If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

Recorded moves

  • The price rose 47.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 52.5¢ to 100¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: gol.gg1h ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by gol.gg
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on gol.gg official match results (credible reporting only if not published within 2 hours). Posts final results after the match. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Oct 28, 2026, 7:00 PM ET.

Source named: gol.gg (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries
  • Trading picked up (about 18 times the usual hourly amount).

    6m ago

  • Trading picked up (about 24 times the usual hourly amount).

    36m ago

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between Invictus Gaming and LYON in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 1 against LYON. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win Game 1 against Invictus Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner: explained simply · MarketWeaver