Soccer

Over vs Under: who will win?

Settled: Under

Result posted: Sun Nov 1, 12:31 PM

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Sun Nov 1, 12:31 PM ET

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Real Racing Club and Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 4.5 play a soccer match, scheduled for November 1 at 10:15 AM ET.

Possible results

OverOver wins.No
What has to happen
Real Madrid CF score 5 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
UnderUnder wins.Yes
What has to happen
Real Madrid CF score less than 5 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print

If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: 90 minutes only, a draw settles NoSettled by La Liga official

Fine-print risk

Low (5/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on La Liga official results; backups: Flashscore, Sofascore; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are ignored, so a draw after 90 minutes settles No on a team-to-win contract. Deadline: Sun, Nov 1, 2026, 10:15 AM ET.

Source named: La Liga official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.”
“If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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