MarketWeaver
Log inSign up

Fed & Rates

Kimberly Powell announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?

51% say yes

Down 5 points today.

Decided by major news reports, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 51¢ means about a 51% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET), the answer is No. Yes wins if: Kimberly Powell’s departure through resignation or removal as Vice President of Healthcare at NVIDIA is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Possible results

  • YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.51%

    What has to happen

    Kimberly Powell’s departure through resignation or removal as Vice President of Healthcare at NVIDIA is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • NoThe deadline passes without it happening.49%

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart
-Yes chance

Loading...

Recorded moves

  • The price fell 3.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 54.5¢ to 51.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus3h ago

  • The price rose 3.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 52¢ to 55¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus13h ago

  • The price fell 3.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 55¢ to 51.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus14h ago

  • The price fell 6.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 61.5¢ to 55¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus15h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the announcement countsNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Medium (30/100)
settles on the official announcement
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kimberly Powell’s departure through resignation or removal as Vice President of Healthcare at NVIDIA is officially announced by…”
  • “If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position…”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets

Get notified when Pro opens.

One email when Pro opens, plus occasional product news. Unsubscribe anytime. Never shared or rented.

By joining you agree to our Privacy Policy.