Other

Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?

11% say yes

Down 10 points today.

Decided by major news reports, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 11¢ means about an 11% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET), the answer is No. Yes wins if: The listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Possible results

YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.11%
What has to happen
The listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.89%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, the market settles as "No Bond chosen".

Price chart

Yes 11%No 89%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 3.9 points in about 15 minutes, from 15.7¢ to 11.8¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Credible-reporting consensus33m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the announcement countsNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the official announcement

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 4 times the usual hourly amount.
2h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM…”
“This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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