Tech

Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal not be announced and Nvidia's be below $4T at the end of 2026?

<1% say Jensen Huang's resignation or removal not will be announced and Nvidia's market cap be below $4T at the end of 2026

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided by major news reports, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

Jensen Huang's resignation or removalJensen Huang's resignation or removal wins.44%
What has to happen
Jensen Huang's resignation or removal wins, under the rules.
Jensen Huang's resignation or removal notJensen Huang's resignation or removal not wins.<1%
What has to happen
Jensen Huang's resignation or removal not wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart

Yes <1%No >99%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the announcement countsNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Medium (40/100)

settles on the official announcement

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 12 times the usual hourly amount.
33m ago
Trading rose to about 12 times the usual hourly amount.
1h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The option matching both results will resolve to "Yes", and all other options will resolve to "No".”
“This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of (1) whether Jensen Huang’s departure through resignation or removal as CEO of NVIDIA is officially…”
“Options beginning "Resigned/removed" require Jensen Huang’s departure through resignation or removal as CEO of NVIDIA to be officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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