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US Elections

JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?

81% say yes

Down 12 points today.

Polymarket lists November 30, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until December 7, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 81¢ means about an 81% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

  • YesThe person named in the question wins the election.81%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is yes by December 7, 2026.

  • NoIt doesn’t happen.19%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

If that option is not a listed outcome of this market, the market settles as "Other".

See all fine print
  • If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window for an option (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for that purpose.
Price chart
-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: first number counts, no revisionsSettled by predictionmarketodds.com
Fine-print risk
Low (0/100)
settles on the first published number

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on predictionmarketodds.com (predictionmarketodds.com). No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles strictly on the initial agency release. Later benchmark revisions will not flip the outcome. Deadline: Mon, Dec 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: predictionmarketodds.com (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve according to the option with the highest hourly odds value in the "2028 Presidential Winner by Candidate" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for…”
  • “If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed end date, this market will resolve in favor of the outcome of the underlying market…”
  • “If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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