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Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

36% say yes

Down 2 points today.

Decided by major news reports, by December 31, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 36¢ means about a 36% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (December 31, 2026), the answer is No. Yes wins if: The listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Possible results

YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.36%
What has to happen
The listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.64%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by December 31, 2026.

The one trap

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, the market settles as "No Bond chosen".

Price chart

Yes 36%No 64%

-Yes chance

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The details

Rule note: the announcement countsNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the official announcement

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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