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Alex Marti Pujolras vs Raffaele Ciurnelli: who will win?

>99% say Raffaele Ciurnelli wins

No price change recorded today yet.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

If postponed, it can stay open until Nov 28, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Alex Marti Pujolras and Raffaele Ciurnelli play a match in M25 San Gregorio di Catania, scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 6:00 AM .

Possible results

Alex Marti PujolrasThe Alex Marti Pujolras win and moves on.<1%
What has to happen
Alex Marti Pujolras advances against Raffaele Ciurnelli.
Raffaele CiurnelliRaffaele Ciurnelli wins and moves on.>99%
What has to happen
Raffaele Ciurnelli advances against Alex Marti Pujolras.

The one trap

If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or still has no winner by November 28, 2026, the market settles 50-50 and every share pays 50¢.

See all fine print

If a player stops partway through (retires), or is defaulted or disqualified, the player who moves on wins the market.
If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.

Price chart

Alex Marti Pujolras <1%Raffaele Ciurnelli >99%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 6:00 AM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 15 times the usual hourly amount.
2h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF).”
“If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 28, 2026, 11:59…”
“If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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