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Theo Papamalamis vs Alex Rybakov: who will win?

56% say the Theo Papamalamis win

No price change recorded today yet.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

Polymarket lists November 4, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until November 11, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 56¢ means about a 56% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Theo Papamalamis and Alex Rybakov play a match at the M25 Norman, OK, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:30 PM .

Possible results

Theo PapamalamisThe Theo Papamalamis win and moves on.56%
What has to happen
Theo Papamalamis advances against Alex Rybakov.
Alex RybakovAlex Rybakov wins and moves on.44%
What has to happen
Alex Rybakov advances against Theo Papamalamis.

The one trap

If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or still has no winner by November 11, 2026, the market settles 50-50 and every share pays 50¢.

See all fine print

If a player stops partway through (retires), or is defaulted or disqualified, the player who moves on wins the market.
If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.

Price chart

Theo Papamalamis 56%Alex Rybakov 44%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price rose 29.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 50.5¢ to 79.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Credible-reporting consensus19m ago

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Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Oct 28, 2026, 12:30 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market refers to the tennis match between Theo Papamalamis and Alex Rybakov in the M25 Norman, OK, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Theo Papamalamis' if Theo Papamalamis advances against Alex Rybakov. This market will resolve to 'Alex Rybakov' if Alex Rybakov advances against Theo Papamalamis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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