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Sofia Nahiara Nappi vs Sofia Finchelstein: who will win?

>99% say Sofia Finchelstein wins

No price change recorded today yet.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

Polymarket lists November 4, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until November 11, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Sofia Nahiara Nappi and Sofia Finchelstein play a match at the W15 Neuquén, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM .

Possible results

Sofia Nahiara NappiSofia Nahiara Nappi wins and moves on.<1%
What has to happen
Sofia Nahiara Nappi advances against Sofia Finchelstein.
Sofia FinchelsteinSofia Finchelstein wins and moves on.>99%
What has to happen
Sofia Finchelstein advances against Sofia Nahiara Nappi.

The one trap

If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or still has no winner by November 11, 2026, the market settles 50-50 and every share pays 50¢.

See all fine print

If a player stops partway through (retires), or is defaulted or disqualified, the player who moves on wins the market.
If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.

Price chart

Sofia Nahiara Nappi <1%Sofia Finchelstein >99%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 47.9 points in about 15 minutes, from 48¢ to 0.1¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Credible-reporting consensus1h ago
The price fell 25 points in about 15 minutes, from 40¢ to 15¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Source: Credible-reporting consensus3h ago

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Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Oct 28, 2026, 10:00 AM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading picked up (about 14 times the usual hourly amount).
18m ago
Trading picked up (about 14 times the usual hourly amount).
48m ago

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market refers to the tennis match between Sofia Nahiara Nappi and Sofia Finchelstein in the W15 Neuquén, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Nahiara Nappi' if Sofia Nahiara Nappi advances against Sofia Finchelstein. This market will resolve to 'Sofia Finchelstein' if Sofia Finchelstein advances against Sofia Nahiara Nappi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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