W15 Neuquén: Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau vs Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca

Source: Credible-reporting consensus · End date Nov 3, 9:00 AM ET · View rules on Polymarket (international site) ↗

Explain it simply

Built from this market’s own rules and prices. It is research, not a recommendation.

1.What this market is really asking

Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau and Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca play a match at the W15 Neuquén, scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET.

This market asks: who will win?

2.Words to know

ET: Eastern Time, the time zone of New York.
Advance: To move on to the next round.
Share: One unit of a market. A share pays $1 if its result happens and $0 if it doesn’t.
Price in cents (¢): Prices run from 0¢ to 100¢ and work like a percent chance. 94¢ means the crowd gives it about a 94% chance.
Official source: The organization named in the rules whose report decides the result.
Settle (resolve): When a market is decided and shares pay out. Venues use “resolve” to mean the same thing.
50-50: Every share pays 50¢, whichever side it is. Markets use this when the rules say a result can’t be decided.
Retirement (tennis): When a player stops a match partway through, usually because of injury. The other player moves on.
Default or disqualification: When a player is removed from a match for breaking the rules. The other player moves on.
Walkover: When a player pulls out before the match starts, so the other player moves on without playing.
Regulation time: The normal length of a game, before any overtime.
Overtime: Extra playing time added when a game is tied at the end of normal time.
Kalshi: A US exchange that lists similar markets. It is regulated by the CFTC, and its rules can differ from Polymarket’s.
End date: The last day the rules allow for the result. Some markets settle earlier, and some rules allow extra time.
Credible reporting: When major news outlets agree on a result. Polymarket often uses this before official counts are final.

3.Each possible result

Ana Victoria Gobbi MonllauCrowd’s chance: more than 99%
What it would mean: Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau wins and moves on to the next round.
What has to happen: Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau advances against Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca.
Maria Sofia Madrid RoccaCrowd’s chance: less than 1%
What it would mean: Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca wins and moves on to the next round.
What has to happen: Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca advances against Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau.

4.How the payout works

Each Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau share pays $1 if Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau wins and $0 if not. Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca shares work the same way.

At over 99¢, the crowd gives Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau more than a 99% chance.

In the special cases listed under the fine print, every share pays 50¢ instead.

Prices change all the time. This is a snapshot of what traders think, not a forecast from us.

5.Why the price is where it is

We haven’t found an official source explaining this yet.

6.Fine print in plain English

If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or still has no winner by November 10, 2026, the market settles 50-50 and every share pays 50¢.
If a player stops partway through (retires), or is defaulted or disqualified, the player who moves on wins the market.
If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.

The short version

How to read this page

Traders give Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau more than 99% and Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca less than 1% in “W15 Neuquén: Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau vs Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca”.

There is no price change on record for today yet, and there are more buy orders than sell orders waiting near the price right now.

Low surprise risk: the official final result settles it, overtime included.

Describes the price, the order book and the contract rules. It is research, not a recommendation.

Polymarket prices shown here come from Polymarket’s international site (polymarket.com), which is not available to US residents. Polymarket US is a separate CFTC-regulated venue with its own prices. Prediction market access depends on where you live. Follow each venue’s terms and location rules, and do not use a VPN or other tools to get around them.

Live price & chartPro

Pro shows the exact price, the change in points, the price history and every real price move here.

See Pro

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

Match / Game Final

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 10:00 AM ET (scheduled start). Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (see rules) and cancellation handling (per the rules vs. void/refund on sportsbooks and Kalshi's own contract terms).

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

W15 Neuquén: Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau vs Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca

5-point rule check

Polymarket

Source: Credible-reporting consensus

Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)

Source
Deadline
Counts as Yes
Backup rules
Other venues

Fine-print risk Low 20

Who settles it (official source)

Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider)

Deadline and time zone

Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 10:00 AM ET (scheduled start); hard deadline Tue, Nov 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET America/New_York

What counts as Yes

Match / Game FinalOfficial final result of the match; forfeits and walkovers follow the special rules stated. Rule text: "This market refers to the tennis match between Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau and Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca in…"

Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

Fine print and other venues

Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (see rules) and cancellation handling (per the rules vs. void/refund on sportsbooks and Kalshi's own contract terms).

Rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market refers to the tennis match between Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau and Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca in the W15 Neuquén, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau' if Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau advances against Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca. This market will resolve to 'Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca' if Maria Sofia Madrid Rocca advances against Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.