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Xirui Han vs Qian Sun: who will win?

>99% say Xirui Han wins

No price change recorded today yet.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

If postponed, it can stay open until Nov 19, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Xirui Han and Qian Sun play a match in M15 Maanshan, scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 12:30 AM .

Possible results

  • Xirui HanXirui Han wins and moves on.>99%

    What has to happen

    Xirui Han advances against Qian Sun.

  • Qian SunQian Sun wins and moves on.<1%

    What has to happen

    Qian Sun advances against Xirui Han.

The one trap

If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or still has no winner by November 19, 2026, the market settles 50-50 and every share pays 50¢.

See all fine print
  • If a player stops partway through (retires), or is defaulted or disqualified, the player who moves on wins the market.
  • If a player pulls out before the match starts (a walkover), the market settles 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price rose 43.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 57¢ to 100¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus40m ago

  • The price rose 46.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 37¢ to 83.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus1h ago

  • The price fell 63.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 85¢ to 21.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Thu, Nov 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF).”
  • “If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59…”
  • “If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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