Weather
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?
<1% say yes
Down 25 points today.
Decided by polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com, by October 28, 2026.
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.
Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
Possible results
YesThe weather event in the question happens and is officially reported.<1%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by October 28, 2026.
NoIt doesn’t happen.>99%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is no, under the rules.
The one trap
The report the resolution source shows for a given observation time is the one that counts, whether or not it is marked as a correction (COR).
See all fine print
- In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source.
Price chart
Recorded moves
The price fell 72.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 72¢ to 0.1¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com8m ago
