Other

GTA VI released by November 30?

99% say yes

About the same as yesterday.

Decided by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM , under the rules.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 99¢ means about a 99% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET), the answer is No. Yes wins if: It Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.

Possible results

YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.99%
What has to happen
It Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.1%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart

Yes 99%No 1%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenNo source named

Fine-print risk

Medium (35/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Mon, Nov 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.”
“The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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