Other

Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 20?

16% say yes

Down 17 points today.

Decided by Race calls by AP, Fox News, NBC, CNN, ABC, CBS, by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 16¢ means about a 16% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET), the answer is No.

Possible results

YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.16%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.84%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart

Yes 16%No 84%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 5.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 21.5¢ to 16¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: AP + Fox News + NBC + CNN + ABC + CBS race calls10h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: first number counts, no revisionsSettled by AP + Fox News + NBC + CNN + ABC + CBS race calls

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the first published number

Official source: Settles on AP, Fox News, NBC, CNN, ABC and CBS race calls.
Fine print: Settles strictly on the initial agency release. Later benchmark revisions will not flip the outcome. Deadline: Fri, Nov 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: AP + Fox News + NBC + CNN + ABC + CBS race calls (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 5 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.
2h ago
Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.
3h ago
Trading rose to about 5 times the usual hourly amount.
3h ago
Trading rose to about 7 times the usual hourly amount.
9h ago
Trading rose to about 7 times the usual hourly amount.
10h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between market creation and November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a qualifying outlet publishes a qualifying report of…”
“The resolution source for this market will be reporting from the qualifying outlets; for acknowledgments, official information from Jensen Huang or his official or legal…”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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