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Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 14, 12:00 AM ?

Settled: Yes

Decided by consensus of credible reporting

Result posted: Fri Nov 13, 10:48 PM ET

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Fri Nov 13, 10:48 PM ET

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 14, 2026), the answer is No. Yes wins if: The FAA, the U.S.

Possible results

YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.Yes
What has to happen
The FAA, the U.S.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.No
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by November 14, 2026.

The one trap

A qualifying announcement must communicate that the nationwide (all-airports) ground stop is cancelled or otherwise no longer in effect, including where it is replaced by narrower ground stops or other traffic management initiatives at individual airports or regions.

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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The details

Rule note: the announcement countsNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Medium (30/100)

settles on the official announcement

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 AM (time zone not stated).

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading rose to about 11 times the usual hourly amount.
14h ago
Trading rose to about 12 times the usual hourly amount.
15h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve to “Yes” if the FAA, the U.S. Department of Transportation, or their authorized representatives officially announce that this nationwide ground stop…”
“The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the FAA & the Department of Transportation; however, a consensus of credible reporting…”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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