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Motorsport

Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?

Settled: Kimi Antonelli

Decided by the official result, under the rules

Result posted: Sun Oct 25, 10:26 PM ET

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Sun Oct 25, 10:16 PM ET

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

It stays open until the season or tournament has a winner.

Possible results

  • Kimi AntonelliKimi Antonelli wins.Yes

    What has to happen

    Kimi Antonelli wins, under the rules.

  • Max VerstappenMax Verstappen wins.No

    What has to happen

    Max Verstappen wins, under the rules.

  • Charles LeclercCharles Leclerc wins.No

    What has to happen

    Charles Leclerc wins, under the rules.

  • Isack HadjarIsack Hadjar wins.No

    What has to happen

    Isack Hadjar wins, under the rules.

Show 25 more results
  • Lewis HamiltonLewis Hamilton wins.No

    What has to happen

    Lewis Hamilton wins, under the rules.

  • George RussellGeorge Russell wins.No

    What has to happen

    George Russell wins, under the rules.

  • Lando NorrisLando Norris wins.No

    What has to happen

    Lando Norris wins, under the rules.

  • Oscar PiastriOscar Piastri wins.No

    What has to happen

    Oscar Piastri wins, under the rules.

  • Pierre GaslyPierre Gasly wins.No

    What has to happen

    Pierre Gasly wins, under the rules.

  • Fernando AlonsoFernando Alonso wins.No

    What has to happen

    Fernando Alonso wins, under the rules.

  • Alexander AlbonAlexander Albon wins.No

    What has to happen

    Alexander Albon wins, under the rules.

  • Gabriel BortoletoGabriel Bortoleto wins.No

    What has to happen

    Gabriel Bortoleto wins, under the rules.

  • Sergio PerezSergio Perez wins.No

    What has to happen

    Sergio Perez wins, under the rules.

  • Esteban OconEsteban Ocon wins.No

    What has to happen

    Esteban Ocon wins, under the rules.

  • Franco ColapintoFranco Colapinto wins.No

    What has to happen

    Franco Colapinto wins, under the rules.

  • Carlos Sainz Jr.Carlos Sainz Jr. wins.No

    What has to happen

    Carlos Sainz Jr. wins, under the rules.

  • Nico HulkenbergNico Hulkenberg wins.No

    What has to happen

    Nico Hulkenberg wins, under the rules.

  • Valtteri BottasValtteri Bottas wins.No

    What has to happen

    Valtteri Bottas wins, under the rules.

  • Oliver BearmanOliver Bearman wins.No

    What has to happen

    Oliver Bearman wins, under the rules.

  • Arvid LindbladArvid Lindblad wins.No

    What has to happen

    Arvid Lindblad wins, under the rules.

  • Liam LawsonLiam Lawson wins.No

    What has to happen

    Liam Lawson wins, under the rules.

  • Lance StrollLance Stroll wins.No

    What has to happen

    Lance Stroll wins, under the rules.

  • Yuki TsunodaYuki Tsunoda wins.No

    What has to happen

    Yuki Tsunoda wins, under the rules.

  • any other driverany other driver wins.No

    What has to happen

    any other driver wins, under the rules.

  • Driver ADriver A wins.No

    What has to happen

    Driver A wins, under the rules.

  • Driver BDriver B wins.No

    What has to happen

    Driver B wins, under the rules.

  • Driver CDriver C wins.No

    What has to happen

    Driver C wins, under the rules.

  • Driver DDriver D wins.No

    What has to happen

    Driver D wins, under the rules.

  • Driver EDriver E wins.No

    What has to happen

    Driver E wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 1, 2026, the market settles as “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race.

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Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as written, time zone not statedNo source named
Fine-print risk
Medium (35/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with no time zone stated for the deadline. Deadline: Sun, Nov 1, 2026 (time zone not stated).

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 1, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?: explained simply · MarketWeaver