MarketWeaver

Motorsport

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?

<1% say Charles Leclerc wins

Down 22 points today.

Decided when a champion is named, by November 8, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

It stays open until the season or tournament has a winner.

Possible results

  • Max VerstappenMax Verstappen wins.>99%

    What has to happen

    Max Verstappen wins, under the rules.

  • Lewis HamiltonLewis Hamilton wins.1%

    What has to happen

    Lewis Hamilton wins, under the rules.

  • Fernando AlonsoFernando Alonso wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Fernando Alonso wins, under the rules.

  • Sergio PerezSergio Perez wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Sergio Perez wins, under the rules.

Show 19 more results
  • Esteban OconEsteban Ocon wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Esteban Ocon wins, under the rules.

  • Carlos Sainz Jr.Carlos Sainz Jr. wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Carlos Sainz Jr. wins, under the rules.

  • Nico HulkenbergNico Hulkenberg wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Nico Hulkenberg wins, under the rules.

  • Valtteri BottasValtteri Bottas wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Valtteri Bottas wins, under the rules.

  • Oscar PiastriOscar Piastri wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Oscar Piastri wins, under the rules.

  • Gabriel BortoletoGabriel Bortoleto wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Gabriel Bortoleto wins, under the rules.

  • Lance StrollLance Stroll wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Lance Stroll wins, under the rules.

  • Yuki TsunodaYuki Tsunoda wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Yuki Tsunoda wins, under the rules.

  • Franco ColapintoFranco Colapinto wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Franco Colapinto wins, under the rules.

  • Charles LeclercCharles Leclerc wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Charles Leclerc wins, under the rules.

  • Pierre GaslyPierre Gasly wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Pierre Gasly wins, under the rules.

  • Alexander AlbonAlexander Albon wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Alexander Albon wins, under the rules.

  • Lando NorrisLando Norris wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Lando Norris wins, under the rules.

  • Kimi AntonelliKimi Antonelli wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Kimi Antonelli wins, under the rules.

  • Oliver BearmanOliver Bearman wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Oliver Bearman wins, under the rules.

  • George RussellGeorge Russell wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    George Russell wins, under the rules.

  • Arvid LindbladArvid Lindblad wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Arvid Lindblad wins, under the rules.

  • Isack HadjarIsack Hadjar wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Isack Hadjar wins, under the rules.

  • Liam LawsonLiam Lawson wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Liam Lawson wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 8, 2026, the market settles as “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race.

Price chart
-Yes chance

Loading...

Recorded moves

  • The price fell 27.4 points in about 15 minutes, from 27.5¢ to 0.2¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    No official data feed38m ago

  • The price fell 18.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 40.5¢ to 22¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    No official data feed2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenNo source named
Fine-print risk
Medium (35/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sun, Nov 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries
  • Trading rose to about 3 times the usual hourly amount.

    7m ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.”
  • “If the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Nov 8, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.””

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets

Get notified when Pro opens.

One email when Pro opens, plus occasional product news. Unsubscribe anytime. Never shared or rented.

By joining you agree to our Privacy Policy.