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Basketball

Valencia vs Fenerbahce: who will win?

52% say Spread: Fenerbahce (-1.5) wins

Down 3 points today.

Decided when the match ends. It is scheduled for October 27 at 3:30 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 52¢ means about a 52% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Valencia and Fenerbahce play a basketball game, scheduled for October 27 at 3:30 PM ET.

Possible results

  • Spread: Fenerbahce (-1.5)This result happens.52%

    What has to happen

    The question’s answer is yes.

  • Valencia vs. FenerbahceThis result happens.47%

    What has to happen

    The question’s answer is yes.

  • Valencia vs. Fenerbahce: O/U 178.5This result happens.38%

    What has to happen

    The question’s answer is yes.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

Why the price is where it is

We haven’t found an official source explaining this yet.

The one trap

If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.

See all fine print
  • If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market settles 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeSettled by EuroLeague official (implied)
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
Match / Game Final

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on The rules name no source; the official EuroLeague final result is the implied reference. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 3:30 PM ET (scheduled start). Check regulation vs. overtime inclusion, the postponement rule (Polymarket holds open until the game is played) and cancellation handling (50-50 on Polymarket vs. void/refund on sportsbooks and Kalshi's own contract terms).

No resolution source named in the rules (implied: EuroLeague official result)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Contract moved -2.5 points in 15m (49.0¢ → 46.5¢); last-hour volume 3.6× hourly average; contract does not name an official .gov resolution source; spread 1.0¢; depth ±5¢ $21.1k bid / $23.8k ask.

    11m ago

  • Contract moved -0.5 points in 15m (49.5¢ → 49.0¢); last-hour volume 3.6× hourly average; contract does not name an official .gov resolution source; spread 2.0¢; depth ±5¢ $24.3k bid / $31.9k ask.

    41m ago

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for October 27 at 3:30PM ET: If the Valencia win, the market will resolve to "Valencia". If the Fenerbahce win, the market will resolve to "Fenerbahce". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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