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Ethereum

Ethereum Up or Down on October 31?

80% say Up

Up 32 points today.

Decided by Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candles, by October 31, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 80¢ means about an 80% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The price is read from Binance (the ETH/USDT pair), at the time named in the rules.

Possible results

  • UpThe result is “Up”.80%

    What has to happen

    The "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 31 '26 12:00 ET candle.

  • DownThe result is “Down”.20%

    What has to happen

    The "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 31 '26 12:00 ET candle.

The one trap

It uses the Binance price at 12:00 ET, not prices from other exchanges or websites.

See all fine print
  • If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

Recorded moves

  • The price rose 3.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 82.5¢ to 85.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)1h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: only the close countsSettled by binance.com (1m candle)
Fine-print risk
Low (0/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, Yes orders vs No orders in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candles (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored. Updates every minute (exchange candles). No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Intraday touches do not count. Only the exact closing snapshot at the cutoff timestamp settles this contract. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Source named: binance.com (1m candle) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top…”
  • “If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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